Could 1998 KY26 be Phobos 1?

Adam Hibberd

I have been studying the most unusual of celestial bodies known as ‘dark comets’ which are particular sorts of asteroids exhibiting strange inexplicable forces with no outgassing.

What I’m finding is a pattern, but let’s put that aside for the moment and talk about the particular dark comet known as ‘1998 KY26’.

The Japanese Aersopace Exploration Agency (JAXA) is sending a mission to this object, the Hayabusa2 spacecraft, arriving in July of 2031 – but what on Earth will it find?

I have found sound and compelling evidence this object – which has several unusual properties – may in fact be a defunct Russian Mars probe which was lost in transit back in 1988.

What happened was the Russians uploaded a faulty command to this probe – the Phobos 1 probe – eventually causing the spacecraft to lose attitude control shortly thereafter.

The European Southern Observatory (ESO) attempted to observe the probe 20 days later but it was not seen at its predicted coordinates which led them to ask ‘had the probe experienced a faulty rocket fire?’

Through my research I discovered that a rocket fire around loss of mission followed by second much later on, within the thrust envelope of the probe, could just account for the difference in orbits of the two objects meaning that they could actually be one-and-the-same object.

But there are further pieces of evidence which add weight to this theory. For instance 1998 KY26 is very small at only 11 metres in diameter, just the length of Phobos 1 from one tip of a solar panel to the other.

1998 KY26 is also unusually reflective for an asteroid which tallies with this object being shiny and man-made.

Note also that HUGE fluctuations in apparent magnitude indicate it is spinning and highly elongated. That fits too – the Phobos 1 probe has a high aspect ratio because it was much narrower than its maximum span of 11 metres.

So will the Hayabusa2 spacecraft find the Phobos 1 probe in 2031? We shall have to wait and see.

Go here for the preprint.

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